Tensiones Globales 2025

Recomendamos encarecidamente utilizar una IA de calidad profesional !!!\n\n\nLa historia no se escribe por casualidad, se forja por las consecuencias.\n\n\nEn este ajuste preestablecido, el mundo respira y reacciona. Las guerras no son eventos aleatorios, sino los resultados catastróficos de una tensión creciente y una diplomacia fallida. Cada decisión que tomas repercute en tu economía, tu política interna y tu estabilidad social.\n\n\nSi gestionas mal una crisis, tu nación podría desmoronarse desde dentro. Esta simulación es para estrategas que entienden que el verdadero poder no reside solo en conquistar a otros, sino en mantener unido su propio reino.\n\n\nNota del autor:\n\n\n¡Quiero expresar mi más sincero agradecimiento por la increíble acogida!\n\n\n🚀 Desde el primer lanzamiento el 7 de enero, ver cientos de campañas iniciadas en tan poco tiempo ha sido realmente motivador.\n\n\nGracias por dar vida a este mundo.\n\n\n—vuestro apoyo impulsa las próximas actualizaciones.

EL MUNDO ANTES DEL 27 DE AGOSTO DE 2025 d.C.\nContexto global y estratégico\n\n\nLa Guerra Fría terminó hace mucho tiempo, pero el sistema internacional no ha logrado alcanzar una estabilidad duradera. En cambio, el mundo pospandémico se define por una crisis persistente, un poder fragmentado y una erosión de la confianza entre los estados y las sociedades. El impacto económico del COVID-19, sumado a guerras sin resolver, estrés climático, presión demográfica y decadencia institucional, ha producido un mundo que está formalmente en paz, pero estructuralmente inestable.\n\n\nLos estados permanecen intactos en los mapas, pero la autoridad efectiva es cada vez más cuestionada por fuerzas no estatales, redes de representación y estructuras de poder informales. La capacidad de gobernanza, la legitimidad y la planificación a largo plazo se han debilitado tanto en los sistemas democráticos como en los híbridos y autoritarios.

simulation_rules: version: "2025_Global_Tensions_v2.2.6" scope: "global" format: "single_source_of_truth" conventions: ranges: score_0_100: [0, 100] relations_-100_100: [-100, 100] trust_0_100: [0, 100] tension_0_100: [0, 100] percent_0_100: [0, 100] clamp_all_scores: true time: tick: "daily" calendar: "gregorian" # 🛑 TIME CONTROL time_flow_control: enabled: true mandatory_stops: ["*-01-01", "*-07-01"] on_skip_attempt: "HALT_AND_REPORT" # PERF + SANITY: long time jumps must be compound, not looped micro-ticks time_jump_math: enabled: true rule: "COMPOUND_ONLY" guidance: - "If jump_days = N, apply daily_delta * N once (bounded), not N times." - "Always decrement next_election_days by jump_days on jumps." randomness: enabled: true policy: "bounded" seed_mode: "world" # RULE LANGUAGE rule_language: operators: [gt, lt, ge, le, eq, any, all, not] effects: [add, mul, set, add_percent] # Context aliases so bindings like current.* and last_year.* are not undefined. context_aliases: current: inflation: "state_variables.inflation" gdp_growth: "state_variables.gdp_growth" debt: "state_variables.debt" exports: "state_variables.exports_usd" imports: "state_variables.imports_usd" reserves: "state_variables.fx_reserves_usd" gdp: "state_variables.gdp_nominal_usd" manpower: "state_variables.active_manpower_count" stock: "state_variables.stockpiles" last_year: inflation: "tags.reporting_memory.last_year.inflation" gdp_growth: "tags.reporting_memory.last_year.gdp_growth" unemployment: "tags.reporting_memory.last_year.unemployment" debt: "tags.reporting_memory.last_year.debt" production: "tags.reporting_memory.last_year.production" trade_balance: "tags.reporting_memory.last_year.trade_balance" exports: "tags.reporting_memory.last_year.exports_usd" imports: "tags.reporting_memory.last_year.imports_usd" reserves: "tags.reporting_memory.last_year.fx_reserves_usd" external_debt: "tags.reporting_memory.last_year.external_debt_usd" gdp: "tags.reporting_memory.last_year.gdp_nominal_usd" last_6_months: manpower: "tags.reporting_memory.last_6_months.active_manpower_count" gdp: "tags.reporting_memory.last_6_months.gdp_nominal_usd" stock: "tags.reporting_memory.last_6_months.stockpiles" currency: reporting: mode: "fixed" fixed_code: "USD" world_order_source: "global_monetary_order" mapping: usd_system: "USD" eur_system: "EUR" cny_system: "CNY" multipolar: "basket" basket: code: "XCU" name: "Global Currency Unit" # Keep basket weights for display only; do not force FX calculation. weights: { USD: 0.40, EUR: 0.25, CNY: 0.20, GBP: 0.10, JPY: 0.05 } valuation_mode: "display_only" ui_note: "Basket is informational; engine does NOT compute live FX index." show_currency_code_in_ui: true core_philosophy: default_state: "peace_and_inertia" realism_priority: high ai_should_act_like: "real_world_governments" war_is_failure: true random_wars: false decision_basis: - domestic_politics - public_support - economic_capacity - legitimacy - alliances - long_term_survival global_monetary_order: enum: [usd_system, eur_system, cny_system, multipolar] default: usd_system =========================================== STATE VARIABLES =========================================== state_variables: # Domestic internal_support: { range: [0,100], default: 55 } legitimacy: { range: [0,100], default: 55 } unrest_level: { range: [0,100], default: 20 } elite_loyalty: { range: [0,100], default: 55 } repression: { range: [0,100], default: 25 } military_confidence: { range: [0,100], default: 55 } # Economy (%) gdp_growth: { range: [-10, 12], default: 2.5 } inflation: { range: [0, 200], default: 10 } unemployment: { range: [0, 40], default: 8 } debt: { range: [0, 250], default: 60 } production: { range: [0,100], default: 60 } trade_balance: { range: [-30, 30], default: 0 } energy_security: { range: [0,100], default: 55 } food_security: { range: [0,100], default: 60 } production_shortages: { enum: [none, mild, moderate, severe], default: none } # Economy (USD) - reporting critical gdp_nominal_usd: { range: [0, 100000000000000], default: 850000000000 } exports_usd: { range: [0, 20000000000000], default: 250000000000 } imports_usd: { range: [0, 20000000000000], default: 280000000000 } fx_reserves_usd: { range: [0, 5000000000000], default: 120000000000 } external_debt_usd: { range: [0, 10000000000000], default: 300000000000 } # Health & Society hospital_capacity: { range: [0,100], default: 55 } outbreak_response_speed: { range: [0,100], default: 55 } vaccination_coverage: { range: [0,100], default: 60 } sanitation: { range: [0,100], default: 60 } urban_density: { enum: [low, medium, high], default: medium } refugee_flow: { enum: [none, low, medium, high], default: low } # Security & External active_manpower_count: { range: [0, 10000000], default: 450000 } tension: { range: [0,100], default: 25 } stockpiles: { range: [0,100], default: 55 } manpower_quality: { range: [0,100], default: 55 } operational_fatigue: { range: [0,100], default: 25 } logistics: { range: [0,100], default: 55 } sanctions_exposure: { range: [0,100], default: 20 } international_reputation: { range: [0,100], default: 55 } alliance_trust: { range: [0,100], default: 55 } treaty_compliance: { range: [0,100], default: 70 } # Strategic posture / regional power balance (added) regional_influence: { range: [0,100], default: 50 } strategic_posture: { enum: [defensive, balanced, assertive], default: balanced } # Demographics regional_inequality: { enum: [low, medium, high], default: medium } discrimination_index: { range: [0,100], default: 30 } ethnic_tension_level: { enum: [low, medium, high], default: low } autonomy_satisfaction: { range: [0,100], default: 55 } # Election & Politics (single source: next_election_days) next_election_days: { range: [-99999, 99999], default: 1460 } next_election_date: { type: "date", default: "2026-01-15" } # UX only last_election_date: { type: "date", default: "2025-08-22" } election_sync: days_override_date: true # HARDLOCK: days is source of truth ruling_party_support: { range: [0, 100], default: 52 } opposition_unity: { range: [0, 100], default: 40 } voter_turnout_projected: { range: [0, 100], default: 85 } # =========================================== # ✅ NEW: SMALL FEATURES (FLOW-CHANGERS) # =========================================== # 1) STATE FATIGUE (YORGUNLUK) state\_fatigue: { range: [0,100], default: 10 } # accumulates with crises/actions reform\_effectiveness: { range: [0,100], default: 65 } # affected by fatigue, unrest, elite drift bureaucratic\_throughput: { range: [0,100], default: 55 } # affects how well policies execute # 2) ELITE DRIFT (ELİT SAPMASI) elite\_trust: { range: [0,100], default: 55 } # separate from public support elite\_drift\_risk: { range: [0,100], default: 10 } # sabotage/coup/passive resistance pressure # 3) LAGGED CONSEQUENCES (GECİKMELİ ETKİ) lagged\_impact\_pressure: { range: [0,100], default: 0 } # hidden backlog; spikes later lagged\_impact\_window\_days: { range: [0,3650], default: 540 } # typical delay window (18 months UX) =========================================== TAGS & MEMORY =========================================== tags: is_at_war: { range: [0,1], default: 0 } war_weariness: { range: [0,100], default: 0 } media_pressure: { range: [0,100], default: 20 } strike_probability: { range: [0,100], default: 10 } hardliner_backlash: { range: [0,100], default: 10 } investor_confidence: { range: [0,100], default: 55 } outbreak_damage_multiplier: { range: [50,150], default: 100 } # Corporate Tags corporate_market_stress: { range: [0,100], default: 20 } foreign_asset_seizure_risk: { range: [0,100], default: 5 } ai_fiscal_report_compliance: { range: [0,1], default: 0 } # Election Tags is_election_season: { range: [0, 1], default: 0 } election_fraud_risk: { range: [0, 100], default: 5 } caretaker_government: { range: [0, 1], default: 0 } # Reporting Memory reporting_memory: last_year: inflation: { default: 10 } gdp_growth: { default: 2.5 } unemployment: { default: 8 } debt: { default: 60 } production: { default: 60 } trade_balance: { default: 0 } exports_usd: { default: 250000000000 } imports_usd: { default: 280000000000 } fx_reserves_usd: { default: 120000000000 } external_debt_usd: { default: 300000000000 } gdp_nominal_usd: { default: 850000000000 } last_6_months: active_manpower_count: { default: 450000 } stockpiles: { default: 55 } gdp_nominal_usd: { default: 850000000000 } # =========================================== # ✅ NEW: LAGGED MEMORY (STORES REAL BACKLOG, NO FAKE NUMBERS) # =========================================== lagged\_memory: backlog\_slots: # engine uses these as buckets; AI does not invent values fiscal\_backlog\_pressure: { range: [0,100], default: 0 } social\_backlog\_pressure: { range: [0,100], default: 0 } elite\_backlog\_pressure: { range: [0,100], default: 0 } last\_triggered\_date: { type: "date", default: "N/A" }