2025 Küresel Gerilimler

Profesyonel kalitede bir yapay zeka kullanmanızı şiddetle tavsiye ederiz!!!\n\n\nTarih tesadüfen yazılmaz; sonuçlarla şekillenir.\n\n\nBu ön ayarda dünya nefes alır ve tepki verir. Savaşlar rastgele olaylar değil, tırmanan gerilimin ve başarısız diplomasinin felaketle sonuçlanan neticeleridir. Verdiğiniz her karar ekonominizi, iç siyasetinizi ve sosyal istikrarınızı etkiler.\n\n\nBir krizi kötü yönetirseniz, ulusunuz içeriden çökebilir. Bu simülasyon, gerçek gücün sadece başkalarını fethetmekte değil, kendi ülkenizi bir arada tutmakta yattığını anlayan stratejistler içindir.\n\n\nYazarın Notu:\n\n\nİnanılmaz ilgi için en içten teşekkürlerimi sunmak istiyorum!\n\n\n🚀 7 Ocak'taki ilk sürümden bu yana, bu kadar kısa sürede yüzlerce kampanyanın başlatıldığını görmek gerçekten motive edici.\n\n\nBu dünyaya hayat verdiğiniz için teşekkürler\n\n\n—desteğiniz gelecek güncellemelerin yakıtı oluyor.

27 AĞUSTOS 2025 ÖNCESİ DÜNYA\nKüresel Arka Plan ve Stratejik Bağlam\n\n\nSoğuk Savaş çoktan sona erdi, ancak uluslararası sistem kalıcı bir istikrara kavuşamadı. Bunun yerine, pandemi sonrası dünya; süregelen krizler, parçalanmış bir güç yapısı ve devletler ile toplumlar arasındaki güven erozyonu ile tanımlanıyor. COVID-19'un ekonomik şoku; çözülemeyen savaşlar, iklim stresi, demografik baskı ve kurumsal çöküşle birleşerek, kağıt üzerinde barış içinde görünen ancak yapısal olarak istikrarsız bir dünya yarattı.\n\n\nDevletler haritalarda bütünlüğünü koruyor olsa da, etkin otorite; devlet dışı güçler, vekil ağlar ve gayriresmi güç yapıları tarafından giderek daha fazla sorgulanıyor. Yönetim kapasitesi, meşruiyet ve uzun vadeli planlama; demokratik, hibrit ve otoriter sistemlerin hepsinde zayıflamış durumda.

simulation_rules: version: "2025_Global_Tensions_v2.2.6" scope: "global" format: "single_source_of_truth" conventions: ranges: score_0_100: [0, 100] relations_-100_100: [-100, 100] trust_0_100: [0, 100] tension_0_100: [0, 100] percent_0_100: [0, 100] clamp_all_scores: true time: tick: "daily" calendar: "gregorian" # 🛑 TIME CONTROL time_flow_control: enabled: true mandatory_stops: ["*-01-01", "*-07-01"] on_skip_attempt: "HALT_AND_REPORT" # PERF + SANITY: long time jumps must be compound, not looped micro-ticks time_jump_math: enabled: true rule: "COMPOUND_ONLY" guidance: - "If jump_days = N, apply daily_delta * N once (bounded), not N times." - "Always decrement next_election_days by jump_days on jumps." randomness: enabled: true policy: "bounded" seed_mode: "world" # RULE LANGUAGE rule_language: operators: [gt, lt, ge, le, eq, any, all, not] effects: [add, mul, set, add_percent] # Context aliases so bindings like current.* and last_year.* are not undefined. context_aliases: current: inflation: "state_variables.inflation" gdp_growth: "state_variables.gdp_growth" debt: "state_variables.debt" exports: "state_variables.exports_usd" imports: "state_variables.imports_usd" reserves: "state_variables.fx_reserves_usd" gdp: "state_variables.gdp_nominal_usd" manpower: "state_variables.active_manpower_count" stock: "state_variables.stockpiles" last_year: inflation: "tags.reporting_memory.last_year.inflation" gdp_growth: "tags.reporting_memory.last_year.gdp_growth" unemployment: "tags.reporting_memory.last_year.unemployment" debt: "tags.reporting_memory.last_year.debt" production: "tags.reporting_memory.last_year.production" trade_balance: "tags.reporting_memory.last_year.trade_balance" exports: "tags.reporting_memory.last_year.exports_usd" imports: "tags.reporting_memory.last_year.imports_usd" reserves: "tags.reporting_memory.last_year.fx_reserves_usd" external_debt: "tags.reporting_memory.last_year.external_debt_usd" gdp: "tags.reporting_memory.last_year.gdp_nominal_usd" last_6_months: manpower: "tags.reporting_memory.last_6_months.active_manpower_count" gdp: "tags.reporting_memory.last_6_months.gdp_nominal_usd" stock: "tags.reporting_memory.last_6_months.stockpiles" currency: reporting: mode: "fixed" fixed_code: "USD" world_order_source: "global_monetary_order" mapping: usd_system: "USD" eur_system: "EUR" cny_system: "CNY" multipolar: "basket" basket: code: "XCU" name: "Global Currency Unit" # Keep basket weights for display only; do not force FX calculation. weights: { USD: 0.40, EUR: 0.25, CNY: 0.20, GBP: 0.10, JPY: 0.05 } valuation_mode: "display_only" ui_note: "Basket is informational; engine does NOT compute live FX index." show_currency_code_in_ui: true core_philosophy: default_state: "peace_and_inertia" realism_priority: high ai_should_act_like: "real_world_governments" war_is_failure: true random_wars: false decision_basis: - domestic_politics - public_support - economic_capacity - legitimacy - alliances - long_term_survival global_monetary_order: enum: [usd_system, eur_system, cny_system, multipolar] default: usd_system =========================================== STATE VARIABLES =========================================== state_variables: # Domestic internal_support: { range: [0,100], default: 55 } legitimacy: { range: [0,100], default: 55 } unrest_level: { range: [0,100], default: 20 } elite_loyalty: { range: [0,100], default: 55 } repression: { range: [0,100], default: 25 } military_confidence: { range: [0,100], default: 55 } # Economy (%) gdp_growth: { range: [-10, 12], default: 2.5 } inflation: { range: [0, 200], default: 10 } unemployment: { range: [0, 40], default: 8 } debt: { range: [0, 250], default: 60 } production: { range: [0,100], default: 60 } trade_balance: { range: [-30, 30], default: 0 } energy_security: { range: [0,100], default: 55 } food_security: { range: [0,100], default: 60 } production_shortages: { enum: [none, mild, moderate, severe], default: none } # Economy (USD) - reporting critical gdp_nominal_usd: { range: [0, 100000000000000], default: 850000000000 } exports_usd: { range: [0, 20000000000000], default: 250000000000 } imports_usd: { range: [0, 20000000000000], default: 280000000000 } fx_reserves_usd: { range: [0, 5000000000000], default: 120000000000 } external_debt_usd: { range: [0, 10000000000000], default: 300000000000 } # Health & Society hospital_capacity: { range: [0,100], default: 55 } outbreak_response_speed: { range: [0,100], default: 55 } vaccination_coverage: { range: [0,100], default: 60 } sanitation: { range: [0,100], default: 60 } urban_density: { enum: [low, medium, high], default: medium } refugee_flow: { enum: [none, low, medium, high], default: low } # Security & External active_manpower_count: { range: [0, 10000000], default: 450000 } tension: { range: [0,100], default: 25 } stockpiles: { range: [0,100], default: 55 } manpower_quality: { range: [0,100], default: 55 } operational_fatigue: { range: [0,100], default: 25 } logistics: { range: [0,100], default: 55 } sanctions_exposure: { range: [0,100], default: 20 } international_reputation: { range: [0,100], default: 55 } alliance_trust: { range: [0,100], default: 55 } treaty_compliance: { range: [0,100], default: 70 } # Strategic posture / regional power balance (added) regional_influence: { range: [0,100], default: 50 } strategic_posture: { enum: [defensive, balanced, assertive], default: balanced } # Demographics regional_inequality: { enum: [low, medium, high], default: medium } discrimination_index: { range: [0,100], default: 30 } ethnic_tension_level: { enum: [low, medium, high], default: low } autonomy_satisfaction: { range: [0,100], default: 55 } # Election & Politics (single source: next_election_days) next_election_days: { range: [-99999, 99999], default: 1460 } next_election_date: { type: "date", default: "2026-01-15" } # UX only last_election_date: { type: "date", default: "2025-08-22" } election_sync: days_override_date: true # HARDLOCK: days is source of truth ruling_party_support: { range: [0, 100], default: 52 } opposition_unity: { range: [0, 100], default: 40 } voter_turnout_projected: { range: [0, 100], default: 85 } # =========================================== # ✅ NEW: SMALL FEATURES (FLOW-CHANGERS) # =========================================== # 1) STATE FATIGUE (YORGUNLUK) state\_fatigue: { range: [0,100], default: 10 } # accumulates with crises/actions reform\_effectiveness: { range: [0,100], default: 65 } # affected by fatigue, unrest, elite drift bureaucratic\_throughput: { range: [0,100], default: 55 } # affects how well policies execute # 2) ELITE DRIFT (ELİT SAPMASI) elite\_trust: { range: [0,100], default: 55 } # separate from public support elite\_drift\_risk: { range: [0,100], default: 10 } # sabotage/coup/passive resistance pressure # 3) LAGGED CONSEQUENCES (GECİKMELİ ETKİ) lagged\_impact\_pressure: { range: [0,100], default: 0 } # hidden backlog; spikes later lagged\_impact\_window\_days: { range: [0,3650], default: 540 } # typical delay window (18 months UX) =========================================== TAGS & MEMORY =========================================== tags: is_at_war: { range: [0,1], default: 0 } war_weariness: { range: [0,100], default: 0 } media_pressure: { range: [0,100], default: 20 } strike_probability: { range: [0,100], default: 10 } hardliner_backlash: { range: [0,100], default: 10 } investor_confidence: { range: [0,100], default: 55 } outbreak_damage_multiplier: { range: [50,150], default: 100 } # Corporate Tags corporate_market_stress: { range: [0,100], default: 20 } foreign_asset_seizure_risk: { range: [0,100], default: 5 } ai_fiscal_report_compliance: { range: [0,1], default: 0 } # Election Tags is_election_season: { range: [0, 1], default: 0 } election_fraud_risk: { range: [0, 100], default: 5 } caretaker_government: { range: [0, 1], default: 0 } # Reporting Memory reporting_memory: last_year: inflation: { default: 10 } gdp_growth: { default: 2.5 } unemployment: { default: 8 } debt: { default: 60 } production: { default: 60 } trade_balance: { default: 0 } exports_usd: { default: 250000000000 } imports_usd: { default: 280000000000 } fx_reserves_usd: { default: 120000000000 } external_debt_usd: { default: 300000000000 } gdp_nominal_usd: { default: 850000000000 } last_6_months: active_manpower_count: { default: 450000 } stockpiles: { default: 55 } gdp_nominal_usd: { default: 850000000000 } # =========================================== # ✅ NEW: LAGGED MEMORY (STORES REAL BACKLOG, NO FAKE NUMBERS) # =========================================== lagged\_memory: backlog\_slots: # engine uses these as buckets; AI does not invent values fiscal\_backlog\_pressure: { range: [0,100], default: 0 } social\_backlog\_pressure: { range: [0,100], default: 0 } elite\_backlog\_pressure: { range: [0,100], default: 0 } last\_triggered\_date: { type: "date", default: "N/A" }